In the aftermath of Britain’s election, with Mays fall from a majority and Labors rise as a credible party once more, with Corbyn proving a surprisingly good campaigner, another election was held beneath many peoples notice. That is, the French Parliamentary election.
Similar to the Presidential election there are two rounds, with Macrons Republique en Marche earning 31.5 percent of the vote in the first, potentially earning his party up to 400 seats within Parliament, an massive majority. While it should be noted that voters typically provide majorities to newly elected presidents to ensure their ability to lead and enact reforms, there were questions regarding French voters willingness to support a new party and an untested president. This is an impressive lead, though it bears repeating that two round system does mean that number could change, potentially in either direction. SO no massive response from me just yet.
In regards to Labors surprise growth, that of a 10% increase in parliament, in the end I can only wonder at Corbyns ability as both opposition leader and legislator. While the latter is unlikely to be seen in a Tory government, proposals and effective opposition and leadership could provide further strength to Labor given his new national profile (regardless of what much of the media and political establishment might want). As it is, I truly know little of his actual ability to do either so as above, I’m gonna wait and see.
It’s annoying this ambivalence I have right now. I like Macron, but until he begins making reforms I have no understanding of the impact or changes he can credibly make, or how that will affect French people and economy. I’m open to Corbyns success, but I know very little of the man and I’m hesitant to latch onto any British politician at this stage.
At this stage I’m just waiting for some new leaders to step up, and hopefully prove themselves nationally and internationally. Hopefully Macrons a signal of that change, but I feel that he’ll need to succeed for that to be worth focusing on.
Bloomberg: Macron Tightens Grip on Parliamentary Seats
There’s been a recent surge of interest in dystopian fiction, ‘1984‘ has peaked in sales for the first time in many years, ‘The Handmaiden‘ has recently released to rave reviews, numerous television shows, films and books are suddenly (terribly) relevant.
It’s not surprising of course, with recent political shifts in our known, predictable world and with certain directions societies in multiple countries are taking towards authoritarian politics, religious zealotry and anti-immigrant (read:outsiders/others) behavior it’s no wonder people are looking to fiction for potential outcomes. It’s always been good for reminding us how close we teeter to disaster, how democracy, freedom, common sense are not a guarantees.
(and they give you the best nightmares, don’t they)
With the coming French elections, and the possibility of a Le Pen election (and seriously have they forgotten what happened in the World Wars? Why they happened? Seriously France?) coupled with the shift in more western politics, Turkeys referendum, Brexit and so on, looking at these bits of fiction provides a strange sort of catharsis, and an example of what not to do. Let’s hope we can avoid any such interest in religious zealotry, Gilead looks like an awful place.
(but seriously, Stahp with the Crazy yeah?)
Nunes got kicked off of the house intelligence hearings
Trump authorized bombings of Syrian air bases
The republicans nuked the filibuster.
Remember when politics was synonymous with compromise? I don’t.
So long as this partisan brinkmanship continues, all we’re going to see is more and more conflict, challenges and difficulty. The more of that, the more extreme leaders the US is going to get, people like Trump who will lash it quickly and shortsightedly at anything and everything that they consider a threat.
Compromise. Remember it.
(but seriously can I?)
The healthcare bill failed, a Freedom Caucus secret pact cemented that, though plenty of other people share the blame (right wing media, White House lack of commitment, Ryan), Trumps approval is at his lowest yet (40.4%), Nune’s secret information leak seems to be an intelligence agent, or the White House, or Trump. And Gorsuch might not get the votes due to a Democratic filibuster, which Republicans are calling a terrible double standard. Cause Garland was never nominated in wonderland or something.
The healthcare bill has been delayed until tomorrow, presumably in the hopes that enough votes can be drafted to pass the bill. The freedom caucus (and seriously how on earth are they not the anarchy caucus? Anyone?) remain opposed to much of the legislation, asserting that it does not go far enough to repeal Obamacare, to the vociferous support of the Koch brothers and their conservative policy group. Moderates are being scared off the bill cause, you know, 24 million people and a worse deficit score (only $154 billion less debt now with all the amendments the Freedom caucus insisted on) is politically a nightmare for anyone h=who didn’t come into office being a raging nutcase moderate republican. And Trump is demanding a final vote on Friday, do or die.
On the other hand, does anyone really trust the Americans to not be stupid enough to pass this bill?
In the background of all of this, Rep. Nunes has apologized for running to the president to inform him about information regarding the investigation into his own people, acting seemingly surprised that he may have, you know, compromised an investigation. I realise the republicans are going to support their president, of course, but at the very least don’t pretend to be impartial. Either admit to being a shill, or stand firm in your impartiality, you can’t have both.
Oh, and Schumer and the dems in the senate are committed to a filibuster regarding Gorsuch. Wonder who’ll call for nuking it first, Cruz or Trump?
(oh and if McConnell is stupid enough to get rid of it)